So the past few days i have been thinking about poker. Not so much stratagy, but what the game means to me, and what i should be doing. I kindof came to the realization that i am not looking to be some big time poker king. I am not driven enough to get to those levels, and honestly, i don't think i could handle the emotional load. If i could one day max out a Roth IRA, and buy something nice once every couple of months, i would be the happiest kid on the block.
Also i realised that there are way to many people that are decent at low limit NL cash games. The .05-.10 nl game on UB is harder that the 1.00-2.00 FTP games was 2 years ago. Turbo SNG's are also filled with push bots playing 234543 tables at a time, making 10-20% roi. there are too many good players in some forms of online poker. if i was dead set on being a high limit player, i would just have to learn to beat them. But i'm not. So i am moving my play, and focusing on where i think the most fishies are.
1)Limit cash games such as razz, omaha hi-low, and 2-7 triple draw are going to be a good spot for my money. The play is horrible, and much less variance (except for 2-7, and that is always played with a stop-lost, or lower limit). I think past the 2-4 level it will get tougher, but i am a long ways from being bankrolled for that. But with my bankroll, i can play 4 tables of Razz, make 2 BB per 100 hands, and make some decent money when i get to the 1-2 level. It wouldn't be that hard to play 6+ tables of 1-2 limit and make some decent money just by playing ABC poker. Great action, and less variance that my other forms of poker i am going to focus on. Guess this will be my "Base Camp" ala Graps.
2)Heads up SNG's. I have always been good at these. Played 50 dollar heads up matches with great results a year ago, and i am a much better player now that i was then. Getting in some heads up helps your reads, picking up betting patterns, and just generaly helps your game. Also the games are pretty weak. I rarely run up against a player that i wouldn't want to play all day long. I am hopeing to play these, and move up in stakes untill i start running into too many regulars. Heads up is a mental game, and keeping emotions out of the game can be hard. So i will probally stay well within my skill level. If i get to where i can beat the bigger levels, then i will play them, but i really am not looking to move up fast. Just plug aways making the monies off the fish.
3)MTT's. If there is one form of poker i have had the most trouble with, its tournaments. Always played poor, and felt lost in them. But when you enter a 10 dollar MTT, you are probally up against 80%+ of fish. sit down at a .50-1.00 nl game on stars, you are going to have some fish, but there also will be plenty of decent players and odds are 1 or 2 regulars. MTT's have their sharks too, but mostly its fish. Watching replays of 100r shows some very weak plays. I really think there is, and will be tons of money to be made in MTT's, without having to good players at every table. The stars million is probally one of the weaker fields around, and if you win it you get 100k+. Just seems like MTT's are always going to be donkaments. So this being said, i am spending a lot of money i make lately on tournament buy ins. I am trying hard, and think i am on my way to being +ev in low buyin tournaments. Even if i just play the 4, 10 dollar 180 man sng's a win every now and then will be great. Making it threw the 3, 5 or 11R on stars and you are talking about some really good money.
So here is the plan...Play Fixed limit games 60% of the time, with some heads up sng's probally around 20% of the time. Spend 30% of the time learning MTT's and getting better.
My dream poker situation would be playing 2-4 limit games as a nice lower variance money maker, 20-50 dollar heads up matches when i feel like playing a lot (gamboooling), and up to 50 dollar mtt's with some satalites into the majors every week. This will let me make some nice money regularly, and possibly hit a huge score.
Thats the plan for now. Will probally change in a week, knowing me.
-take
Wednesday, January 17, 2007
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